The General Election campaign is in full swing all over Great Britain and although Scotland has it's own Scottish Parliament the overall result will have an impact on the political picture of Scotland. Due to the recent boundary changes we have thirteen fewer Members of Parliament representing Scotland at Westminster which gives us a total of 59 MPs. Every Constituency in Scotland is now made up from a different mixture of the electorate.

In 1997 there was a change of Government from Conservative to Labour, voters were disenchanted after eighteen years of being governed by the same political party. It is now 2005, Labour have been in power for two terms. Many voters are unhappy with the current situation and are now looking for change. So lets imagine what could happen.

Using figures that are based on the old boundaries but recalculated to reflect the new, we have compiled the table below to give an indication as to how the voting may affect the election. At the top of the table and the seat most at risk is Dunfries and Galloway which could be lost to the Conservatives if there is a minor swing from voting Labour. Ochil and South Perthshire along with the Western Isles, are the next two at risk and could be lost to the Scottish National Party. The real bad news for the Government is, Labour could lose four seats to the Liberal Democrats i.e.Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch And Strathspey, East Dunbartonshire, Aberdeen South and Edinburgh South making a total of seven lost Labour seats. The situation will expand further if voter satisfaction with Labour is at an all time low!

6th May update is as follows:-